top of page
Week 2 Premium Insights
Qualified player props and game markets ranked by model edge, probability, EV, and grade.
WEEK 2 BEST BETS
Suggested units are based on model strength. Dollar stake is calculated from your configured unit size.
Filters
Roman Wilson
PIT @ NE · NE (AWAY) · WR
Receiving Yards — OVER 30.5
37.5 yds · FanDuel -113
AI 8   GRADE B+
HIT 60%   IMPLIED 53.1%   ROI 13.1%
SUGGESTED 0.95 UNITS
BET
2026-09-20 01:53 ET: Expected active; depth WR3. Projection generated from 2025 game history, 2026 Week 1 play-by-play, current depth chart, injury status and game environment.
BET ON FANDUEL -113
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
SEA @ ARI · ARI (AWAY) · WR
Anytime TD 0.5
51.3% TD chance · DraftKings 135
AI 9   GRADE A
HIT 51.3%   IMPLIED 42.6%   ROI 20.6%
SUGGESTED 0.45 UNITS
LEAN
2026-09-20 01:53 ET: Expected active; depth WR1. Projection generated from 2025 game history, 2026 Week 1 play-by-play, current depth chart, injury status and game environment.
BET ON DRAFTKINGS 135
Josh Oliver
MIN @ CHI · CHI (AWAY) · TE
Receptions 1.5
1.9 catches · DraftKings 121
AI 10   GRADE A+
HIT 60%   IMPLIED 45.2%   ROI 32.6%
SUGGESTED 1.45 UNITS
BEST BET
2026-09-20 01:53 ET: Expected active; depth TE2. Projection generated from 2025 game history, 2026 Week 1 play-by-play, current depth chart, injury status and game environment.
BET ON DRAFTKINGS 121
Ashton Jeanty
LV @ LAC · LAC (AWAY) · RB
Anytime TD 0.5
65.0% TD chance · DraftKings -115
AI 9   GRADE A
HIT 65%   IMPLIED 53.5%   ROI 21.5%
SUGGESTED 1.45 UNITS
BEST BET
2026-09-20 01:53 ET: Expected active; depth RB1. Projection generated from 2025 game history, 2026 Week 1 play-by-play, current depth chart, injury status and game environment. | VERIFIED INJURY STATUS: ACTIVE/CLEARED; practice FULL; checked 2026-09-20T14:15:18.149Z
BET ON DRAFTKINGS -115
Christian Watson
GB @ NYJ · NYJ (AWAY) · WR
Anytime TD 0.5
65.0% TD chance · DraftKings 175
AI 10   GRADE A+
HIT 65%   IMPLIED 36.4%   ROI 78.8%
SUGGESTED 1.50 UNITS
BEST BET
2026-09-20 01:53 ET: Expected active; depth WR1. Projection generated from 2025 game history, 2026 Week 1 play-by-play, current depth chart, injury status and game environment.
BET ON DRAFTKINGS 175
David Montgomery
HOU vs CIN · CIN (HOME) · RB
Anytime TD 0.5
65.0% TD chance · DraftKings -145
AI 7   GRADE B
HIT 65%   IMPLIED 59.2%   ROI 9.8%
SUGGESTED 0.40 UNITS
LEAN
2026-09-20 01:53 ET: Expected active; depth RB1. Projection generated from 2025 game history, 2026 Week 1 play-by-play, current depth chart, injury status and game environment.
BET ON DRAFTKINGS -145
D'Andre Swift
CHI vs MIN · MIN (HOME) · RB
Anytime TD 0.5
65.0% TD chance · DraftKings -140
AI 7   GRADE B
HIT 65%   IMPLIED 58.3%   ROI 11.4%
SUGGESTED 0.45 UNITS
LEAN
2026-09-20 01:53 ET: Expected active; depth RB1. Projection generated from 2025 game history, 2026 Week 1 play-by-play, current depth chart, injury status and game environment.
BET ON DRAFTKINGS -140
Chase Brown
CIN @ HOU · HOU (AWAY) · RB
Anytime TD 0.5
55.2% TD chance · DraftKings 110
AI 8   GRADE B+
HIT 55.2%   IMPLIED 47.6%   ROI 15.9%
SUGGESTED 0.95 UNITS
BET
2026-09-20 01:53 ET: Expected active; depth RB1. Projection generated from 2025 game history, 2026 Week 1 play-by-play, current depth chart, injury status and game environment.
BET ON DRAFTKINGS 110
Jonathan Taylor
IND @ KC · KC (AWAY) · RB
Anytime TD 0.5
65.0% TD chance · DraftKings -150
AI 7   GRADE B
HIT 65%   IMPLIED 60%   ROI 8.3%
SUGGESTED 0.40 UNITS
LEAN
2026-09-20 01:53 ET: Expected active; depth RB1. Projection generated from 2025 game history, 2026 Week 1 play-by-play, current depth chart, injury status and game environment.
BET ON DRAFTKINGS -150
Justin Jefferson
MIN @ CHI · CHI (AWAY) · WR
Anytime TD 0.5
52.8% TD chance · DraftKings 145
AI 9   GRADE A
HIT 52.8%   IMPLIED 40.8%   ROI 29.4%
SUGGESTED 1.45 UNITS
BEST BET
2026-09-20 01:53 ET: Expected active; depth WR1. Projection generated from 2025 game history, 2026 Week 1 play-by-play, current depth chart, injury status and game environment. | VERIFIED INJURY STATUS: ACTIVE/CLEARED; practice NOT LISTED; checked 2026-09-20T14:15:18.149Z
BET ON DRAFTKINGS 145
Dallas Goedert
PHI @ TEN · TEN (AWAY) · TE
Anytime TD 0.5
65.0% TD chance · DraftKings 205
AI 10   GRADE A+
HIT 65%   IMPLIED 32.8%   ROI 98.3%
SUGGESTED 1.50 UNITS
BEST BET
2026-09-20 01:53 ET: Expected active; depth TE1. Projection generated from 2025 game history, 2026 Week 1 play-by-play, current depth chart, injury status and game environment.
BET ON DRAFTKINGS 205
Las Vegas Raiders @ Los Angeles Chargers
GAME MARKET · Las Vegas Raiders · SPREAD
SPREAD · Las Vegas Raiders -6.5
Model spread -4.9 · DraftKings -102
AI 6   GRADE C
HIT 53.07029594%   IMPLIED 50.5%   ROI 5.099997841%
SUGGESTED 0.35 UNITS
LEAN
Model edge 1.6 · spread market
BET ON DRAFTKINGS -102.0BET ON FANDUEL -115.0
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Denver Broncos
GAME MARKET · Jacksonville Jaguars · SPREAD
SPREAD · Jacksonville Jaguars -2.5
Model spread 1 · DraftKings -102
AI 7.5   GRADE B
HIT 56.69123118%   IMPLIED 50.5%   ROI 12.270869600000001%
SUGGESTED 0.90 UNITS
BET
Model edge 3.5 · spread market
BET ON DRAFTKINGS -102.0BET ON FANDUEL -120.0
Seattle Seahawks @ Arizona Cardinals
GAME MARKET · Arizona Cardinals · SPREAD
SPREAD · Arizona Cardinals 4
Model spread 2.3 · DraftKings 100
AI 6.3   GRADE C
HIT 53.26177387%   IMPLIED 50%   ROI 6.523547744999999%
SUGGESTED 0.35 UNITS
LEAN
Model edge 1.7 · spread market
BET ON DRAFTKINGS 100.0BET ON FANDUEL -120.0
Miami Dolphins @ San Francisco 49ers
GAME MARKET · San Francisco 49ers · SPREAD
SPREAD · San Francisco 49ers -13.5
Model spread -17 · FanDuel -105
AI 7.1   GRADE B-
HIT 56.69123118%   IMPLIED 51.2%   ROI 10.68287993%
SUGGESTED 0.90 UNITS
BET
Model edge 3.5 · spread market
BET ON DRAFTKINGS -105.0BET ON FANDUEL -105.0
Cleveland Browns @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
GAME MARKET · UNDER · TOTAL
TOTAL · UNDER 41.5
Model total 38.9 · FanDuel -102
AI 6.9   GRADE C+
HIT 55.17167867%   IMPLIED 50.5%   ROI 9.26155971%
SUGGESTED 0.40 UNITS
LEAN
Model edge 2.6 · total market
BET ON DRAFTKINGS -110.0BET ON FANDUEL -102.0
New York Giants @ Los Angeles Rams
GAME MARKET · New York Giants · SPREAD
SPREAD · New York Giants -7.25
Model spread -2.3 · FanDuel -104
AI 8.3   GRADE B+
HIT 59.51219696%   IMPLIED 51%   ROI 16.73546326%
SUGGESTED 1.40 UNITS
BEST BET
Model edge 5 · spread market
BET ON DRAFTKINGS -105.0BET ON FANDUEL -104.0
New York Giants @ Los Angeles Rams
GAME MARKET · UNDER · TOTAL
TOTAL · UNDER 47.5
Model total 45.5 · DraftKings -105
AI 6.1   GRADE C
HIT 53.982783729999994%   IMPLIED 51.2%   ROI 5.394958706%
SUGGESTED 0.35 UNITS
LEAN
Model edge 2 · total market
BET ON DRAFTKINGS -105.0BET ON FANDUEL -118.0
Cincinnati Bengals @ Houston Texans
GAME MARKET · Cincinnati Bengals · SPREAD
SPREAD · Cincinnati Bengals -2.75
Model spread -0.1 · FanDuel -105
AI 6.5   GRADE C+
HIT 55.17167867%   IMPLIED 51.2%   ROI 7.716134536999999%
SUGGESTED 0.35 UNITS
LEAN
Model edge 2.7 · spread market
BET ON DRAFTKINGS -116.0BET ON FANDUEL -105.0
PARLAY SUGGESTIONS
Model-supported cross-game combinations only. Same-game and duplicate exposures are excluded. Parlay probabilities use a cross-game independence approximation and may overstate true combined edge.
2-LEG PARLAY
ESTIMATE ONLY
Christian Watson
Anytime TD · 0.5 · BEST BET · +175
Dallas Goedert
Anytime TD · 0.5 · BEST BET · +205
DraftKings +739
Suggested 0.50 UNITS
Model probability 42.3%
Implied 11.9% · Estimated EV 254.4%
3-LEG PARLAY
ESTIMATE ONLY
Christian Watson
Anytime TD · 0.5 · BEST BET · +175
Dallas Goedert
Anytime TD · 0.5 · BEST BET · +205
Josh Oliver
Receptions · 1.5 · BEST BET · +121
DraftKings +1754
Suggested 0.25 UNITS
Model probability 25.4%
Implied 5.4% · Estimated EV 369.9%
4-LEG PARLAY
ESTIMATE ONLY
Christian Watson
Anytime TD · 0.5 · BEST BET · +175
Dallas Goedert
Anytime TD · 0.5 · BEST BET · +205
Josh Oliver
Receptions · 1.5 · BEST BET · +121
Ashton Jeanty
Anytime TD · 0.5 · BEST BET · -115
DraftKings +3365
Suggested 0.10 UNITS
Model probability 16.5%
Implied 2.9% · Estimated EV 471.0%
WATCHLIST
Near-threshold markets. Monitor price, availability, and late model movement.
Cooper Rush
WATCH
Completions · 18.5
DraftKings -125 · AI 6 · C+ · EV 4.4%
Philadelphia Eagles @ Tennessee Titans
WATCH
SPREAD · Philadelphia Eagles · 7
FanDuel -110 · AI 5.5 · C- · EV 2.412225348%
Washington Commanders @ Dallas Cowboys
WATCH
SPREAD · Washington Commanders · -4
FanDuel -102 · AI 5.9 · C- · EV 4.720655767%
Cleveland Browns @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
WATCH
SPREAD · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · -8.5
FanDuel 100 · AI 5.8 · C- · EV 3.8401826%
Carolina Panthers @ Atlanta Falcons
WATCH
TOTAL · UNDER · 43.5
DraftKings -105 · AI 5.9 · C- · EV 4.619581409%
Indianapolis Colts @ Kansas City Chiefs
WATCH
SPREAD · Kansas City Chiefs · -6.5
FanDuel -112 · AI 5.7 · C- · EV 3.349546814%
PROP PROJECTION LEADERBOARD
PLAYERPROPLINEPROJODDSBOOKRATINGGRADEHIT %ROISTATUS
Roman WilsonReceiving Yards — OVER30.537.5 yds-113FanDuel8B+6013.1BET
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaAnytime TD0.551.3% TD chance135DraftKings9A51.320.6LEAN
Josh OliverReceptions1.51.9 catches121DraftKings10A+6032.6BEST BET
Ashton JeantyAnytime TD0.565.0% TD chance-115DraftKings9A6521.5BEST BET
Christian WatsonAnytime TD0.565.0% TD chance175DraftKings10A+6578.8BEST BET
David MontgomeryAnytime TD0.565.0% TD chance-145DraftKings7B659.8LEAN
D'Andre SwiftAnytime TD0.565.0% TD chance-140DraftKings7B6511.4LEAN
Chase BrownAnytime TD0.555.2% TD chance110DraftKings8B+55.215.9BET
Jonathan TaylorAnytime TD0.565.0% TD chance-150DraftKings7B658.3LEAN
Justin JeffersonAnytime TD0.552.8% TD chance145DraftKings9A52.829.4BEST BET
Dallas GoedertAnytime TD0.565.0% TD chance205DraftKings10A+6598.3BEST BET
INJURY REPORT / WEEK 2
Patrick Mahomes ACTIVE / CLEARED
QB | KC | FULL PRACTICE
Official Week 2 report: full participation with no game-status designation. Pregame model snapshot remains unchanged.
Joe Burrow QUESTIONABLE
QB | CIN | BACK · FULL PRACTICE
Official Week 2 game status: Questionable after progressing to full participation Friday. Pregame model snapshot remains unchanged.
Justin Jefferson ACTIVE / CLEARED
WR | MIN | NOT LISTED
Not listed with a Week 2 game-status designation on the official report. The stale OUT tag was removed; pregame model snapshot remains unchanged.
Personal Bankroll Tracker
COMING SOON
FULL MODEL
© 2026 NFL Bet Analytics. All rights reserved.
bottom of page